Grecian-on-Tyne
Member
The Probability Thread has returned and with the help of lockdowns and a general stay-at-home mentality I have managed to totally re-write the calculations, expand the charts and create a website to host said charts.
The website is … http://www.probs4.club (the home page is fairly naff … so do look beyond it)
The website covers the top four English leagues, the most important links are:
The calculation has been refined slightly, but are still based on:
I’m sure my calculations/model is not perfect, but I have plans to run the calculations against previous seasons to refine and improve my model, but that will be for next season.
I still have plans to add a couple more chart over the next few weeks.
Hope you enjoy the website, feel free to ask questions and to share the website with others.
**** this post marks the official go live of probs4.club ****
The website is … http://www.probs4.club (the home page is fairly naff … so do look beyond it)
The website covers the top four English leagues, the most important links are:
The calculation has been refined slightly, but are still based on:
- Season Form (points per game, Home & away)
- Current Form (last six home & away games, weighted so more recent games have more influence)
- Plus a random factor, as we know whatever has happened up to now can only be a guide to the future (e.g. Carlisle, Bolton & Bradford since end of January), the random factor hopefully gives a realist spread to the possible outcomes.
I’m sure my calculations/model is not perfect, but I have plans to run the calculations against previous seasons to refine and improve my model, but that will be for next season.
I still have plans to add a couple more chart over the next few weeks.
Hope you enjoy the website, feel free to ask questions and to share the website with others.
**** this post marks the official go live of probs4.club ****