League 2 news 2021/22

[grecian-near-hell]

You are right Denzil - my mistake. They join Mansfield as being able to lose 2 and be still in the frame, but they have to play 3 in the mix (Bristol Rovers, Newport and us) that could eliminate them and leave it in our hands

It's always been in our hands, hopefully it's now just when!

 

[Hants_red]

The crypto brothers didn't succeed with Bradford City have landed Crawley Town instead. This won't end well

 

[Cowshed Grecian]

If we get 9 points from our 7 games then it will need 2 out of the remaining 9 contenders (excl FGR) to achieve the following points:



Northampton – 15 from 6 or 5 wins from 6
Swindon– 19 from 7 or 6 wins and 1 draw
Sutton - 20 from 7 or 7 wins
Tranmere – 17 from 6 or 6 wins from 6
Salford – 19 from 6 i.e. not possible
Newport – 18 from 6 or 6 wins from 6
Mansfield – 15 from 7 or at least 5 wins from 7
Port Vale – 15 from 6 or 5 wins from 6
Bristol Rovers - 15 from 6 or 5 wins from 6



Salford target is impossible so they are out, leaving 2 from 8.



Of the remaining 8, three will need to win all of their remaining matches. Sutton and Newport play each other so one of those will not make it. 2 from 7 left.



Of the remaining 7, Swindon will need to win all but one and must at least draw that one, three can only afford to lose 1 out of 6 and must win the other 5. Given teams that have to play each other, some of those will be eliminated by each other.



Mansfield are best placed with being able to lose 2. However, they have to play Sutton, Salford and FGR.



If we can’t get 9 points from 7, then we probably don’t deserve autos.

Impressive work this by the way! Certainly the emphasis is more on it being more difficult for those trying to catch us and us to grab those 9 points as soon we can.

 

[Grecian in Cumbria]

This analysis of @older-codger is nicely backed up by http://www.probs4.club/p4cTeam/ExeterCity which shows that 9 more points results in an 85.7% chance of top 3. Throw in a draw (goes up to 93.3%) or 2 draws (goes up to 98.6%) and we are almost there.

 

[Red Devon]

This analysis of @older-codger is nicely backed up by http://www.probs4.club/p4cTeam/ExeterCity which shows that 9 more points results in an 85.7% chance of top 3. Throw in a draw (goes up to 93.3%) or 2 draws (goes up to 98.6%) and we are almost there.

The historical position is very interesting

 

[Bongo1959]

One thing I can guarantee is there will be results that don't go to form .

 

[Sexton Blake]

Good analysis thanks OC, I'm just buying my Barrow tickets now? Or will it be Rochdale ?

Seconded an excellent analysis.

 

[denzel]

The historical position is very interesting

Bristol Rovers in the playoffs would be a nightmare

 

[Hants_red]

The crypto brothers didn't succeed with Bradford City have landed Crawley Town instead. This won't end well

An analysis

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1512145056400039942

 

[Snoop Fog]

This analysis of @older-codger is nicely backed up by http://www.probs4.club/p4cTeam/ExeterCity which shows that 9 more points results in an 85.7% chance of top 3. Throw in a draw (goes up to 93.3%) or 2 draws (goes up to 98.6%) and we are almost there.

Basically, we're going up automatically. Early celebrations in the Snoop household