- Admin
- #591
So what about schools in all of this? This scenario you paint Max makes sense but people will just give up. No way will people be cooped up until summer next year. I'd expect a lot of older folk would end up risking getting the virus anyway and taking their chances as they will either that or go crazy. Especially when seeing the younger generation going out having holidays and a good time etc. That would certainly eliminate the 'all in in together' theme even if it would be to help them ultimately.The science is clear, they will want to keep the lockdown probably up until July to keep the numbers of infections down, keeping the NHS within capacity.
June - Aug will likely see a staged "release" from lockdown for younger groups (not with underlying health conditions), like is planned in Italy. That'll mean looking at stats under 50s. Sorry to those who are older but this is a long haul thing.
With the younger mixing again, but in limited way the virus will pick up again but not as agressively (it is hoped). This period is key because we need a certain percentage (Around 2/3) to get to herd immunity, which - despite tabloids and twitter - is still the ultimate aim because it precedes the vaccine by a year+. The virus won't pass around in the exponential way it is currently with that amount of immunity, it'll be much harder for it to spread without as many carriers.
Going into Autumn they're expecting it to get worse again which will likely follow another 3 month lockdown, maybe more depending on how bad the flu and other seasonal viruses are too. Next spring we might see some normality back, be we're a long way off - it takes time to burn out a virus and it'll never be completely gone until we have a vaccine (likely mid to late 2021).
Football is going to struggle big time with all of this. Mass gatherings are ****** for the foreseeable and likely deep into next season.
All that seems doom and gloom, but it's the reality - its akin to a wartime situation in that it's totally unprecedented - people are still getting their heads around it all because it's hard to accept that amount of time in social lockdown. I get it, I live alone.
We will probably never know for sure, though it is distinctly possible.Do we know for sure whether the Cheltenham Festival helped spread the virus? Or is everything just anecdotal evidence?
They can go further than the current lockdown if required, for the sake of keeping the hospitals functioning. If people start playing up, welcome to the world of martial law.So what about schools in all of this? This scenario you paint Max makes sense but people will just give up. No way will people be cooped up until summer next year. I'd expect a lot of older folk would end up risking getting the virus anyway and taking their chances as they will either that or go crazy. Especially when seeing the younger generation going out having holidays and a good time etc. That would certainly eliminate the 'all in in together' theme even if it would be to help them ultimately.
Schools won't be back until September minimum now.
The schools are the tap to the virus, because children are extremely effective at spreading viruses in general. Bring them back and you open that tap up again - it would be a deliberate move to allow the virus to spread within in the system but in a controlled manner. To be potentially turned off again (closed) when we see the curve increasing too much again.If mass gatherings won't be allowed until next summer then how can schools go back before then?