The Auto(s) Charge

Devon Red

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We had a magnificent run earlier in the season, if we can do something similar again we will be right amongst it.
 

SEA Grecian

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Seven points from the next three games looks achievable and will get us back in the mix for the play-offs. The problem is then we would still need to average nearly 2 points a game for the last 20 points to get close to 80 points. The other issue is that we have no chance of catching Forest Green and Tranmere are starting to look very strong and could well be soon nailed on for second place which leaves us amongst a large group of teams competing for third.
 

grecian-near-hell

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My intention in this thread was similar to a discussion thread but to bring in the other matches of teams challenging for promotion, which are occurring at the same time and anticipate (pointlessly) where we could be on Saturday at 5.00 p.pm., should results go as anticipated.

Yes there will be teams that will come into the promotion/play off fray that are currently no where near it, we are currently in a transfer window and deals will be struck that will benefit teams and others that won't, as it stands The Vegans look odds on for the Championship, Tranmere are going great guns and looking likely to join them leaving only one place open to a host of clubs, some like Mansfield are currently putting a run together. However the season is only half done, and our report card is despite an impressive unbeaten run "could/should have done better", too many draws too many goals conceded late or from outside the box, and not enough quality cover up top have all cost us points. We now have half a season and half a transfer window left to mount a challenge (charge). Agree pointless thread but to me interesting!
 

grecian-near-hell

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Well has our 'charge' started? 2-0 win, a debut goal for our new signing and moving up one space in the table, now lying in eighth spot on 38 points, one point behind current form side Mansfield Town and Newport County, with Port Vale dropping below us after their home defeat to Swindon. Forgetting the position we are now 4 points off the third auto spot, but with the Vegans drawing at Northampton we are two points closer to them (ever the optimist).

One interesting fact to come out of Saturday night's quest show was that of the remaining 22 matches left for Mansfield 14 of them are away from home, starting tomorrow away to the Vegans where a draw would suit us best or even a win for the Stags (their run will end shortly and the Vegans are due a defeat soon). Other matches tomorrow night of interest to the chasing pack are Port Vale at home to Salford, and Sutton at home to Colchester so unless a miracle happens after tomorrow night we will be 6 points of the Autos, but still a lot of games to go.

On Saturday it's the Matt Taylor derby part deux and we are away to Walsall who currently lie in fifteenth position on 29 points having won 7 drawn 8 and lost 9, their current home form is won 1 drawn 4 and lost 1, so hopefully with a new found belief and a furthe week of training three points very much a possibility.

Of the teams around us their matches are (and my predictions (not that that matters too much looking at my previous attempt 4out of 6)
Home Side
Position
Current Home Form Position
Away Side
Position
Current Away Form Position
Prediction
Home Side Points After Prediction
Away Side Points After prediction
Swindon Town
4th​
11th​
Bristol Rovers
16th​
5th​
Draw
41
30​
Barrow
19th​
21st​
Mansfield Town
7th​
16th​
Away win
26​
42
Crawley Town
11th​
23rd​
Tranmere Rovers
2nd​
6th​
Away win
33​
48
The Vegans
1st​
2nd​
Colchester Utd
22nd​
24th​
Home Win
56
22​
Leyton Orient
12th​
8th​
Port Vale
9th​
12th​
Home Win
34​
38​
Scunthorpe Utd
23rd​
20th​
Newport County
6th​
4th​
Away Win
19​
41
Sutton Utd
5th (potentially 3rd)​
7th​
Northampton Town
3rd (potentially 4th)​
3rd​
Draw​
44
42

So after another week it doesn't look like we shall be back in the playoffs come Saturday, in fact with midweek matches we might actually drop down a space. The important thing at this stage it is about starting to put a run together and not letting our target get too far out of sight If results go as predicted we shall still be 4 points off Autos. We shall start to believe whether we are starting a run or just flattering to deceive at the moment as the results reel in and hopefully they will be favourable. We don't want to peek too soon!

We are still in a transfer window and there is likely to be significant movement among our rivals as everybody postures for position, including ourselves if Matty is to be believed.

Couple of outsiders to consider are Salford with their money and connections and Leyton Orient whose game on Saturday against Oldham was postponed due to the 'vid and they now have two games in hand on most, again over the course of the remaining matches the Covid position could always have an impact.
 

grecian-near-hell

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After last Night's results Sutton have moved into third spot (shame as Colchester pushed them to the 92nd minute) on 43 points and with Port Vale losing to Salford we remain in eighth but now 6 points of the Autos but with a game in hand (which counts for nothing) on Tranmere and Sutton.
 
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... Tranmere are starting to look very strong and could well be soon nailed on for second place...
Looking closer at Tranmere's results I don't think they are necessarily uncatchable. Their recent run of 7 wins and 2 draws included no games against the current top 7 (and they've lost cup games to Orient and Harrogate during that spell). Their home record is impressive but they've lost all 3 games against the current top 9 they have played.
 

grecian-near-hell

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Two matches down of our 'Charge', four goals scored, none conceded, 6 points gained and still in eighth spot, but we are 4 points off the autos with a game in hand on Sutton who currently lie in third spot. The Vegans and Tranmere continue to harvest three points a match and this coming weekend one of them won't as the Vegans are away to the lilywhites, a nice little 0-0 draw hopefully. Despite Port Vale picking up a point at Leyton Orient they have started to drift away from the pack although they have got a game in hand which if they win would put them a point behind us, they are at home to struggling (or should I just say crappy old) Scunthorpe on Saturday.

There is only one midweek match that affects the 'pack' this week and that is Leyton Orient at home to Newport County, if Newport win they will push Sutton out of that elusive auto spot on goal difference heading into the weekend. Money bags City are also playing but they are already 6 points behind us having played one more match, and although they have 20 gams left the pressure to catch us up is on them.
Saturday matches for the pack are with my predictions of end result (last week only got one wrong which wouldn't have won me anything but..). bit more difficult this week with clubs changing situations i.e. Colchester sacking their manager and recording a 3-0 win last week
Home Side
Position
Current Home Form Position
Away Side
Position
Current Away Form Position
Prediction
Home Side Points after Prediction
Awat Side Points after Prediction
Carlisle Utd20th13thSutton3rd possibly 4th11thDraw2845
Colchester 22nd14thSwindon6th6thAway Win2544
Mansfield7th1stLeyton Orient13th20thHome Win4432
Newport County5 or potentially 3rd6thBarrow21st17thHome win4726
Northampton4th or potentially 5th5thSalford10th4thDraw4335
Port Vale9th16thScunthorpe21st19thHome Win3919
Tranmere Rovers2nd3rdVegan Rovers1st3rdDraw4956

So a victory over Hartlepool could see us jump into the playoffs ahead of Northampton on goal difference if results go to plan 😁, we will still be 4 points off of the play offs still but with a game in hand as we enter the final days of this transfer window. The following week there are more midweek games not involving us but could see us drop out of the playoffs again time will tell.
 

grecian-near-hell

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A stumble in our canter, prior to the full blown charge which needs to happen in February and March (13 matches in total in 8 weeks). Not ideal and got to be thankful for 9 man Colchester to limit us to only being currently a point off the play offs after our 0-0 on Saturday. Positives - clean sheet again and unbeaten run continues.

Eight matches tomorrow, only one of which could affect our 8th spot Port Vale against the Vegans. If PV win they would jump above us having played the same number of games. Other matches involving Mansfield away to Harrogate, Northampton home to Barrow, Tranmere home to Tissy's Stevenage, and Saturday's opponents, Swindon home to Crawley, as well as Moneybags City home to Carlisle, so quite a few which could affect our points requirements and needs. Will update after these results and assess Saturdays expectations then. Could be 4 points off play offs and seven off Autos.

February going to be a very important month for our challenge
 

grecian-near-hell

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With the transfer window now closed, the cards have been dealt for the run-in.

After last night's results we didn't appear to lose too much ground on the play off places and Autos. With us now being 2 points off our opponents on Saturday Swindon who occupy the last play off place and still only six points off the Autos with two games in hand. With several of the pack playing each other this Saturday could show the position getting tighter within the top 10. The important fixtures are:-

Home SidePositionCurrent Home Form PositionAway SidePositionCurrent Away Form PositionPredictionHome side Points after PredictionAway Side Points after prediction
Barrow20th22ndTranmere Rovers2nd3rdAway win2954
Vegans1st2ndNewport County3rd7thHome Win6247
Salford City10th8thPort Vale9th8thDraw4141
Sutton Utd4th3rdBristol Rovers12th6thDraw4837
Walsall19th18thNorthampton5th12thAway Win2948
Harrogate Town 14th21stBradford City11th11thAway Win3440

A win on Saturday against Swindon, who currently lie 10th on current home form, winning 2 and drawing 4 of their last 6 fixtures, would see us leapfrog them into seventh place and if results go as anticipated see us lie four points off the Autos.

So not a must win match at this stage of the season but, a be good to win match, for a number of reasons including extending our current unbeaten run, and hopefully keeping a clean sheet as well, to help build momentum for these two important months 13 matches in eight weeks
 

malcolms

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With the transfer window now closed, the cards have been dealt for the run-in.

After last night's results we didn't appear to lose too much ground on the play off places and Autos. With us now being 2 points off our opponents on Saturday Swindon who occupy the last play off place and still only six points off the Autos with two games in hand. With several of the pack playing each other this Saturday could show the position getting tighter within the top 10. The important fixtures are:-

Home SidePositionCurrent Home Form PositionAway SidePositionCurrent Away Form PositionPredictionHome side Points after PredictionAway Side Points after prediction
Barrow20th22ndTranmere Rovers2nd3rdAway win2954
Vegans1st2ndNewport County3rd7thHome Win6247
Salford City10th8thPort Vale9th8thDraw4141
Sutton Utd4th3rdBristol Rovers12th6thDraw4837
Walsall19th18thNorthampton5th12thAway Win2948
Harrogate Town14th21stBradford City11th11thAway Win3440

A win on Saturday against Swindon, who currently lie 10th on current home form, winning 2 and drawing 4 of their last 6 fixtures, would see us leapfrog them into seventh place and if results go as anticipated see us lie four points off the Autos.

So not a must win match at this stage of the season but, a be good to win match, for a number of reasons including extending our current unbeaten run, and hopefully keeping a clean sheet as well, to help build momentum for these two important months 13 matches in eight weeks
Sutton now have three home games in a week..Bristol Rovers, Salford and then a top of the table clash against Forest Green..I think they will get at least 7 points from these three games which makes the run for third place autos even tighter
 
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