I'd always rather have the ball, regardless of where it is on the pitch. Obviously the closer to your own goal you are the riskier the situation. Whereas we do play-out from the back, we don't overplay in our own third. Indeed, most of our possession would be in the middle third. To improve we need to retain the ball further forward (moving the heat map up the pitch).Do you think a team has a better chance of scoring when a) they have the ball in their defensive third of the pitch or b) when the opposition has the ball in their own defensive third of the pitch?
I’m all for possession based football if it’s purposeful and leads to opportunities, but the defenders and keeper playing keep ball for half the game is what frustrates people.