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The TITLE Charge?

fred binneys head

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I was at the games, I seem to remember Danny Bailey scoring at Vale Park at the away end. Obviously the events at the final whistle at the home game involving ref Bob Hamer were unforgettable - and made the news at 10 that night!
The Bob Hamer incident was the league game, not the autoglass game, I think.

I was also at the autoglass away game, what a bundle that was.
 

Super Ronnie Jepson

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The Bob Hamer incident was the league game, not the autoglass game, I think.

I was also at the autoglass away game, what a bundle that was.
It was.
 
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I was also at the Autoglass away game and shouted “shooooooooot” to Danny Bailey before he unleashed his shot - I claim the assist!! Was gutting not to reach Wembley.
 

Grecian2K

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GoT's masterpiece makes happier reading with each passing game! (y)
probs4.club
 

Red & White

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It does look like FGR are performing the ultimate 'bottle job'. I think the title will be decided on the last game of the season.
 
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from TPosOT with 2nd place cleared to show 1st place more clearly, now 36.8% to be champions, was 0.5% (1 in 200) at end of January.

1650115177185.png

So to be champions we need to gain 3 more points than FGR (or 2 pts & large goal diff swing = unlikley) this chart conveys this as points to percentage, so 6 more points gives 8% chance of being, champions, full 15 from 5 games gives 96%, 9 points is closest to 50/50 (47%)
1650116155869.png
 

Super Ronnie Jepson

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So to be champions we need to gain 3 more points than FGR (or 2 pts & large goal diff swing = unlikley)
Pardon my ignorance, but Shirley we only need one point more than FGR to be champions (assuming no other team overtakes them)?

Edit - Ok I see what you mean. Doh.
 

SEA Grecian

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Pardon my ignorance, but Shirley we only need one point more than FGR to be champions (assuming no other team overtakes them)?
But they have 2 more points than us at the moment so we would need 2 points more than them between now and the end of the season to draw level with them and one more to finish above so we need a total of 3 more points than them over the next 5 games.
 

Super Ronnie Jepson

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But they have 2 more points than us at the moment so we would need 2 points more than them between now and the end of the season to draw level with them and one more to finish above so we need a total of 3 more points than them over the next 5 games.
Yes , which is obvious without needing a load of graphs. You just need to look at the table to know that. I just misread the post first time.
 

mfcrocker

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But I know we'll meet again, some sunny day...
The graphs are useful though, just 2 more points puts us at a 50/50 chance of autos, 4 puts us at 90+% chance of autos, 9 points puts us at 50/50 to win the title.
 
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