The Probability Thread 2014.

[Grecian-on-Tyne]

Hoped I would not have to do another one of these this season, but back by popular demand, update graphs.

at 5.4% probably lower than what many would suggest.

still looking for 5 or 6 more points for safety.

 

[Red Devon]

Big leap for Morecambe this week...still don't think Accy and Wimbledon are sleeping too soundly yet.

 

[RedPaul]

Big leap for Morecambe this week...still don't think Accy and Wimbledon are sleeping too soundly yet.

Wimbledon's last 2 games are Morecambe (h) and Accy (a)

Still find it hard to believe we only have a 5% chance of going down and yet we have needed to get to 52 points, by both convention and mathematical probability for 2 months now. So are we going to get at least 5 points from 5 games, given the games we have and the form we are in? I'd say at best it was 50-50 shot that we do.

 

[East Devon Clown]

Torquay are 99.8% relegated.

Love it. Although the other 0.2% may still take a couple of weeks.

Thanks for doing the bar graph again. I feel things are worse than that, but my brain is not a supercomputer.

 

[richard_portland]

is the op still working on the probabilities from post 32?

 

[Furious Grecian]

is the op still working on the probabilities from post 32?

I guess so!

 

[PeteUSA]

What you people seem to be failing to take into consideration, is that we've got an inconsistant goalkeeper, with no other half decent keeper to take his place, should he get injured. Niether of the two backup GK's we've got is ready for the rigours of League 2, particularly in a relegation dog fight, which I feel we can safely say we're in!

 

[Red Devon]

What you people seem to be failing to take into consideration, is that we've got an inconsistant goalkeeper, with no other half decent keeper to take his place, should he get injured. Niether of the two backup GK's we've got is ready for the rigours of League 2, particularly in a relegation dog fight, which I feel we can safely say we're in!

I'm a lot more concerned with who's going to score the goals to keep us up rather than who the goalkeeper is...isn't it 3 shots on target in 188 minutes now.

 

[citydrinker]

In view of today's results (especially Northampton's), may we have an update please, Mr G-O-T?.

 

[Silver fox]

In view of today's results (especially Northampton's), may we have an update please, Mr G-O-T?.

I don't need any charts to know we are nearly Fooked!