After the next two games we have 14 left. They're split equally between tougher games against teams around us and 'easier' games against teams in the lower half of the table.Looking at the past two (full) seasons, 79 points was enough for an auto place, but the 2017/18 season it was 84 points. So it looks like we’ll still need 27 points, possibly as much as 30 to 32 to guarantee promotion.
We can’t afford a run of 2-3 games without a win. Hopefully we can win at least 6 of our 8 home games and then that’ll give us a great chance as our away form is also decent. But basically, take one game at a time and beat Barrow this Saturday, and then it’s onto Bristol Rovers.
Wins against Barrow and Rovers would put us on 59 points.
If we win the 7 'easier' games and draw 4 of the harder ones then there's your 84 points.
Obviously, that will never happen...