Recent content by Phil Sayers

  1. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    Russia is in no position to be taking on any of the UK, Finland and Sweden individually let alone all three together.
  2. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    The irony is that both Britain and France went to war to defend Poland's independence and democracy yet, via the aforementioned Yalta conference, ended up accepting Poland being enslaved for 45 years. Pragmatically the solutions devised at Yalta may well have been sensible but morally they were...
  3. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    What the Russians have is more a case of one step forward and two steps back. Ukraine is reclaiming more territory than the Russians are taking.
  4. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    Nothing of any substance yet but a lot of rumours circulating that Ukraine has managed to hit a modern Russian frigate with anti-shipping missiles, that the ship is ablaze and may soon be joining the Moskva at the bottom of the Black Sea.
  5. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    Putin probably won't be too happy with his lackey's comments here: Something to keep an eye on. Probably just some kids having fun trolling the Russians but there is a small chance that Ukraine is very confident it now has the ability to destroy this bridge (which is 12 miles long, vital to...
  6. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    Peace negotiations (indeed much the same can be said of many negotiations) only tend to work where one of the following applies: 1) both sides have had enough of the carnage, grieving and disruption 2) both sides come under sufficient international pressure that they are forced to do a deal or...
  7. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    The Russian bombing of the Mariupol Drama Theatre back in March (a building which had "Children" written in large letters in front of it) may have murdered 600 people :cry: :mad::cry:: https://apnews.com/article/Russia-ukraine-war-mariupol-theater-c321a196fbd568899841b506afcac7a1
  8. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    Hungary (despite being reported to have secured an exemption until the end of 2023) is apparently intending to veto the EU oil import ban as they say it would ruin their economy. Whether this is a negotiating tact to secure other concessions (whether related to Ukraine or completely separate) or...
  9. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    I meant that if Ukraine advances into Crimea, as they may be sorely tempted to do, Putin could seriously contemplate (and of course may decide against) using a tactical nuke on the advancing Ukrainian troops and / or nuke a Ukrainian city as a way of demanding that the advance be halted. I do...
  10. Phil Sayers

    Politics Today

    I see the Sun as being childish, reactionary and something not to be taken seriously. The Mail on the other hand is truly abhorrent, vitriolic, hypocritical, nasty and full of outright malevolent hatred.
  11. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    Increasingly my thinking is that the odds are Ukraine will actually recapture all of the Donbass. Russia will continue to make slow advances for a while, then those advances will grind to a complete halt and then Ukraine will start to push them back as more and more heavy weaponry flows to...
  12. Phil Sayers

    International relations thread

    The war could last ten years but not at anywhere near the current level of intensity. At this current rate Russia simply will not have a functioning army, or equipment for said army, by the time the year is out (and possibly much sooner). Whether Ukraine still does will depend on how much they...
  13. Phil Sayers

    Politics Today

    This won't even be that popular - opinion polling I have seen is about 70 /30 against overturning Roe v Wade. A ratio I expect to increase when the backlash to this really gets going.
  14. Phil Sayers

    Politics Today

    In major political / judicial news from the other side of the pond the now conservative dominated Supreme Court seems to have decided to strike down Roe v Wade by majority decision: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/02/supreme-court-abortion-draft-opinion-00029473 To say the least this...
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