- Mar 24, 2005
Agree lots of assumptions but don't agree any are necessarily far form the mark.A lot of assumptions in there, some being quite far from the mark. Let's face it, anything can happen. I am thinking that if a tie up between Tories and TBP can be done then it's Boris's in the bag. But the way things are moving, I'm not sure that Tories/TBP will do a tie up. If they can't, I just don't know what'll happen. Perhaps another hung parliament where no alliance to govern can be formed. Another Referendum would be close and the same old arguments emerge. Then what? Best of three.
I think the biggest problem is that given the way things have fractured, First Past the Post is simply no longer tenable. 40 years ago things were simple: we had two main parties with a sliver in the middle, much like the US. Since Scotland splintered off and UKIP/TBP has emerged, the whole thing has become multi headed, much like European governments that have between 5 and 10 different parties where coalitions are the norm. Rather than have another GE or Referendum at this juncture, perhaps we should reform to full PR first then take things from there. Just sayin. Not that that would ever happen.
If the Tories do a deal with TBP then:
a) Johnson will still be PM
b) Tories will be pursuing No Deal Brexit
Those two things will likely:
a) Prove untenable for many centre-right, one nation Tories who potentially vote Lib Dem (or don't vote)
b) Lead to the left-leaning, anti No-Deal parties working together in tight seats
I don't think it's unreasonable to assume most, of course not all, fervant pro-No Deal voters probably did turn out earlier in the year. Doubt there is much more No Deal support beyond that.
Agree with you that FPTP is not a system that will easily fix our current problems and we would all benefit from more conciliation. I accept I am biased towards Remain but I don't see how such conciliation is possible when the "MSM" and RW Tories continue to tell such blatant lies. Obviously accept the left is guilty of it too.