A good league 2 punt

100milesaway

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Cheltenham Town 6/1 to finish top half

I’m telling you, it should be evens

As ever, can’t be sure of anything, but they are flying.

First 15 matches 10 points
Last 8 matches 15 points

That’s champions form!
 

Terryhall

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You go me on the alarm clock
15 points from 8 games is ~1.88 points per game - over a full season that would give them ~86 points

86 points would have finished 3rd last season; 3rd the season before; 2nd/3rd the season before that (depending on goal difference).

Generally the top spot has been either above, or very close to, 2 points per game. Lincoln are currently top with 47 from 23, 2.04 points per game.

No denying Cheltenham are in a good run of form right now, but the pedant in me would say it is not champions form. The gap to "top half" is only 7 points so I'd agree that 6/1 is a decent punt at this stage of the season, but the cautious voice in my head says wait until after the January window is done and dusted.
 

les.gtfc

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I actually got 16/1 on us to finish top half a couple of months back. Not looking too bad a bet now as we're only 1 point off 12th now!
 

100milesaway

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I actually got 16/1 on us to finish top half a couple of months back. Not looking too bad a bet now as we're only 1 point off 12th now!
That’s a brilliant bet !! But must have seemed unlikely when you placed it?

I saw Grimsby play at Cheltenham a couple weeks ago. I thought you were exceptionally unlucky. You looked a very good team second half.
 

100milesaway

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15 points from 8 games is ~1.88 points per game - over a full season that would give them ~86 points

86 points would have finished 3rd last season; 3rd the season before; 2nd/3rd the season before that (depending on goal difference).

Generally the top spot has been either above, or very close to, 2 points per game. Lincoln are currently top with 47 from 23, 2.04 points per game.

No denying Cheltenham are in a good run of form right now, but the pedant in me would say it is not champions form. The gap to "top half" is only 7 points so I'd agree that 6/1 is a decent punt at this stage of the season, but the cautious voice in my head says wait until after the January window is done and dusted.


You are right
But it’s definitely top 3 form
They need to catch up but to continue around 2 Pts per game would get them to the play offs (50/1!)
 

100milesaway

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Also Cheltenham don’t really have a star player that will get sold in Jan
I can think of one only but he’s not a Stockley. And down the lower end of the table I doubt anyone is scouting them much.
I think 6/1 is outstanding value. My main concern is come March - when they’ll be very safe - they may not care if they come 12th or 13th
But I’m still thinking maybe playoffs
 

les.gtfc

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That’s a brilliant bet !! But must have seemed unlikely when you placed it?

I saw Grimsby play at Cheltenham a couple weeks ago. I thought you were exceptionally unlucky. You looked a very good team second half.
We lost 6 games on the trot at one point but to be honest the team weren't playing too badly and were unlucky in some of those games. I placed the bet when we were 4th from bottom.
 
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les.gtfc

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Well this bet of mine is going very badly! Grimsby gone to pot too!!!!
Rescued it a bit yesterday though with our first win in 6 games and we're still only 3 points off the top half.

Was very disappointed with MKD yesterday, they were poor, even when we were down to 10 men for the entire 2nd half they didn't really threaten and they only had 1 shot on target in the entire 90 minutes.
 

100milesaway

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Rescued it a bit yesterday though with our first win in 6 games and we're still only 3 points off the top half.

Was very disappointed with MKD yesterday, they were poor, even when we were down to 10 men for the entire 2nd half they didn't really threaten and they only had 1 shot on target in the entire 90 minutes.
Yeah it’s an interesting bet. Cheltenham lost 3 in a row bit are still only 8 pts adrift.
A run of 3-4 wins will do a lot but I guess that’s unlikely!

Your bet looks on again after one win in 6!

I fancy you to beat Newport on Saturday with their distractions.
 

Stelios

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Any former ECFC player to score against us on Saturday? Must be worth a punt when the team is announced...........
 
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