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Thread: Where's the incentive?

  1. #1

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    Where's the incentive?

    Man City are 4/1 to qualify tonight against Liverpool in the CL. In a nutshell they've no chance so surely they should be more 40/1? Who the heck is going to part with any money at 4/1 for a bet that is extremely likely to lose?

    Happens a lot this i've noticed. You get teams 2-0 down with about 15 minutes left and the odds are about 50/1 when they should really be 500/1 for the amount of times a team 2-0 down with 15 minutes to go wins.

  2. #2

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    Re: Where's the incentive?

    I meant really to clarify the point that a price or 4/1 doesn't reflect the chances of the event happening (ie Man City qualifying) and it should be much, much bigger.

  3. #3
    StroudGrecian's Avatar
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    Re: Where's the incentive?

    I'm no expert but don't the odds simply reflect the amount of money staked rather than actual chances of something happening?

  4. #4

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    Re: Where's the incentive?

    Quote Originally Posted by StroudGrecian View Post
    I'm no expert but don't the odds simply reflect the amount of money staked rather than actual chances of something happening?
    TBH Stroudy i'm not sure myself but you could be right. I know generally the prices get shorter as more and more money is put on but i would doubt there will be many people out there putting anything significant on a City passage at 4/1. Even 14/1 is pretty dire odds and wouldn't tempt me.

    You could be right though.

    Bizarre thing is that the world and his wife are taking a City win on the night as a given. Liverpool are well capable of winning on the night and the game could just set it up nicely for them. I'd much rather take the 11/2 about Liverpool to win in 90.
    Last edited by Legohead; 10 April 2018 at 18:03.

  5. #5

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    Re: Where's the incentive?

    Usual betting night for me. Tipped Liverpool above but decided not to back them and then cash out on an acca for a fiver which came up for just over a hundred quid. Oh well, always another day.

    Cracking result in the Roma v Barca game.

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